[NU Sports] Fantastic statistical analysis
Alan Abrahamson
alan.abrahamson at gmail.com
Wed Nov 10 12:42:40 CST 2010
While I research further the efficacy of grief counseling in the aftermath
of the Penn State loss, here is a fantastic statistical comparison from
sippinonpurple.com.
Here's the post and if you feel inclined to comment the link --
http://www.sippinonpurple.com/2010/11/9/1803995/2009-v-2010-which-northwestern-team-is-better-or-why-i-have-some
:
2009 v. 2010? Which Northwestern team is better? (Or why I have some faith
against Iowa/Illinois/Wisconsin...)
"Lately, it seems that Wildcat Nation (well, maybe more like Wildcat
City-State, or Wildcat Vatican/Liechtenstein-esque Principality) has
developed a sense of collective amnesia. Based on the comments here and
elsewhere, we're terrible and regressing from 2009.
"Quick quiz -- which team is better:
- Record (thru 9 games, with Iowa/Illinois/Wisconsin remaining):
- Team A: 5-4
- Team B: 6-3
- QBs:
- Team A: 65% completion rate, 129.3 QB rating, 6.97 yards per passing
attempt, 16 TD, 12 INTs, 299 yards rushing with 5 rushing TDs (thru 13
games)
- Team B: 73% completion rate, 161.0 QB rating, 8.74 yards per passing
attempt, 13 TDs, 3 INTs, 469 yards rushing with 8 rushing TDs
(thru 9 games)
- Rushing
- Team A: 117.8 ypg, leading rusher has 302 yards on the season (13
games)
- Team B: 150.3 ypg, leading rusher has 469 yards on the season (9
games) - 2nd leading rusher has 350 yards on the season
- Offense:
- Team A: 25.8 points per game, 404.4 yards per game
- Team B: 26.0 points per game, 409.8 yards per game
- Scoring Defense:
- Team A: Allowing 24.5 points per game
- Team B: Allowing 21.9 points per game
- Special Teams
- Team A: 20.6 yards per kick return, 6.3 yards per punt return, 72.0%
on FG, 94.6% on XP, 33.0 net yards per punt average
- Team B: 20.8 yards per kick return, 7.2 yards per punt return, 66.7%
on FG, 88.9% on XP, 36.8 net yards per punt average
"So, obviously, you've probably figured out that Team A is Northwestern in
2009, and Team B is Northwestern in 2010.
"So why do we think we're terrible this year? We're DEMONSTRABLY better in
almost EVERY category that matters (save FGs/XPs, where it's not as bad as
it looks), while playing a schedule that is equal to or TOUGHER than last
year's.
"Thoughts? Predictions? Dissenting voices?"
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