[NU Sports] We will beat Nevada

Tom Maycock tkmaycock at yahoo.com
Thu Sep 21 10:36:49 CDT 2006


It's a little early in the season for ratings to be particularly
reliable, but for what it's worth, Sagarin has NU with a rating of
65.35 and Nevada with 68.36. At this point in the season, he says to
add 3.57 points for home advantage. So, that would suggest about a 7
point margin for Nevada. 

That kind of fits with my gut feeling on this game, which is that we
probably need to be plus 1 or 2 on turnovers to overcome the home field
advantage and pull this one out. 

I'm actually fairly optimistic about that. The D has been playing well,
and I think Kafka's due to get his groove back a bit.  

By the way, New Hampshire clocks in with a Sagarin of 72.44. 

Tom




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