[Husker] Interesting statistical analysis of Wisky
Steve Reichenbach
reich at inetnebr.com
Thu Nov 29 09:58:00 CST 2012
WRT Wisconsin having better field position, it may be because their
special teams play is better. This is an area where NU hasn't
excelled.
A point-spread of 1.5 and a probability of winning at 53.4% doesn't seem
like the basis for confidence.
Most of the computer programs are even closer than the 3pt betting line.
Nebraska can be much better than they have played in many games, esp.
wrt turnovers. So, like many championship games, the outcome of this
game may hinge on turnovers and special teams. If NU plays cleaner
than it has and makes few mistakes, it could be a comfortable win.
If NU gives the ball away as it has been doing, it may give away its
best shot at a conference title since 1999.
> There, as most have heard, three kinds of lies; lies, damned lies and
> statistics. Bit ibalways find them interesting and this article talks
> about a couple of sites for stats comparisons and gives reasons why
> Nebraska may be pretty confident heading into the B1G championship.
>
> http://hailvarsity.com/2012/11/trimming-the-fat/
>
> Not saying I buy all of it but interesting none the less.
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