[Husker] So were we this bad after the A&M game ?

[Killmar, John]

Right now Mark Schlabach and Brad Edwards at ESPN are both predicting that Notre Dame will go to the Rose Bowl to play Nebraska:

http://espn.go.com/college-football/bowls/projections?season=2012

John Killmar

-----Original Message-----
From: husker-bounces at tssi.com [mailto:husker-bounces at tssi.com] On Behalf Of Mike Jaixen
Sent: Tuesday, November 13, 2012 9:16 AM
To: Steve Reichenbach; Husker List
Subject: Re: [Husker] So were we this bad after the A&M game ?

If Oregon runs the table, then they'll be off to the title game and the Rose will have an opening for one of those teams...and a three loss Oregon State, Stanford, UCLA, or Southern Cal looks much better to the Rose (keeping tradition alive) for a matchup with Wisconsin.  A three loss Nebraska would almost certainly miss the BCS cut in that situation.

So right now, it's Pasadena or Florida, probably Tampa, at this point.


Mike Jaixen
http://huskermike.blogspot.com
http://www.cornnation.com


________________________________
 From: Steve Reichenbach <reich at inetnebr.com>
To: andy at knipp.com; husker at tssi.com
Sent: Tuesday, November 13, 2012 9:06 AM
Subject: Re: [Husker] So were we this bad after the A&M game ?

> Now, if NU beats UI & UM and then loses to Wisky, we could still make
> a BCS bowl, if NU finishes in the top 14. That might mean a NU/OU game
> at the Fiesta Bowl, which I will have to attend.

It seems unlikely that both NU and OU would play in the Fiesta Bowl.
The BCS lineup looks like:
ACC      FSU
Big East Rutgers
B1G      NU or Wiscsonsin
Big 12   KSU
Pac 12   Oregon
SEC      Two teams, e.g., Georgia, Alabama Others   Notre Dame

If Nebraska wins out, but loses the Championship game, they are 9-3, with a season-ending loss.

So there are two other teams.  Those with good chances:
Clemson, 9-1, plays NC St & S Carolina
Oklahoma, 7-2, plays W Virginia, Oklahoma St, & TCU Stanford 8-2, plays Oregon & UCLA Texas, 8-2, plays TCU & Kansas St Oregon St, 7-2, plays Cal, Oregon, & Nichols St UCLA, 8-2, plays USC & Stanford USC, 7-3, plays UCLA & Notre Dame

At this point, Clemson looks as if it might be in even with a loss to S. Carolina.  Would the BCS bowls take NU at 9-3 over Clemson at 9-2?  That's possible, but otherwise there would be only one other slot.  Right now, the Big 12 looks like a good bet for a second slot.
If Texas beats TCU, they probably would be taken for a second Big 12 slot ahead of Nebraska unless Oklahoma wins out.  So, suppose Oklahoma wins out.  Then, for an NU-OU matchup:

- Clemson must lose 1 or even 2 games.

- The Pac 12 must to beat themselves up, with 1 or 2 losses for Stanford, Oregon St, UCLA, and USC.  Of course, with UCLA-USC, Oregon St-Oregon, Stanford-Oregon, and Stanford-UCLA, there are four sure losses among the top 5 teams, plus USC-Notre Dame and the championship game.  The Pac 12 will be somewhat clearer after this weekend.

I think NU's chances of getting a BCS bid if they lose the Championship are pretty slim.  Still, of the contending teams, NU has one of the easiest remaining schedules.

> But I think I would prefer
> playing ND in the Rose Bowl  and watching it on TV.  That being said,
> I have not attend a game since the 1st B12 championship game in STL.

That is the best and possibly only hope for a BCS game, but if you caused the defeat in STL, you shouldn't go to the Rose Bowl ;-).

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