[Husker] Sigh

[Paul Dalen]

That's a great site.  I'll mark it down as a resource.

I ran a simple MC sim (1000 iterations) using his percentages, and I came up
with these probabilites:

0-8 - .00
1-7 - .00
2-6 - .00
3-5 - .02
4-4 - .11
5-3 - .31
6-2 - .34
7-1 - .18
8-0 - .03


If Nebraska wins on Saturday, the future is very bright indeed.

0-8 - .00
1-7 - .00
2-6 - .00
3-5 - .02
4-4 - .04
5-3 - .14
6-2 - .33
7-1 - .37
8-0 - .12






On Tue, Sep 27, 2011 at 12:07 PM, Mike Nolan <nolan at tssi.com> wrote:

> > Using the odds of an NU victory in each the remaining games as
> > predicted by Massey's website:
> >
> > http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=5279&s=107811
> > Date         Opponent       Rk   Result       PF PA
> > Fri 11/25/11   Iowa          35   78 %        35 26
> > Sat 11/19/11 @ Michigan     15    50 %        29 28
> > Sat 11/12/11 @ Penn St      24    59 %        24 21
> > Sat 11/05/11   Northwestern  82   96 %        41 17
> > Sat 10/29/11   Michigan St   38   80 %        31 21
> > Sat 10/22/11 @ Minnesota    114   95 %        38 17
> > Sat 10/08/11   Ohio St       37   80 %        30 19
> > Sat 10/01/11 @ Wisconsin      9   24 %        27 34
>
> I'm skeptical of those numbers, since it suggests that Northwestern is less
> likely to beat Nebraska than Minnesota.  I'm assuming that Nebraska gets
> a slight bump as the home team against Northwestern and Minnesota gets one
> against Nebraska.
>
> It may all depend on whether Dan Persa is fully recovered from his ruptured
> Achilles heel and whether Martinez can stay healthy.
>
> Northwestern has done very well against Iowa in recent years, and I
> think they're the only Big Ten team with a three game winning streak
> against Iowa in Iowa City.
>
> The Big Ten has a long history of having teams knock each other out of
> the National Championship picture, I think it will continue to be very
> difficult
> for any team to get through the conference schedule undefeated most years,
> maybe even harder with the Huskers in the mix.
>
> The Big Ten conference championship game could prove to be as problematical
> as the Big 12's conference championship game was to Nebraska.
> --
> Mike Nolan
>
> _______________________________________________
> husker site list
> husker at tssi.com
> http://romaine.tssi.com/mailman/listinfo/husker
>