[Husker] Sigh

Mike Nolan nolan at tssi.com
Tue Sep 27 11:07:18 CDT 2011


> Using the odds of an NU victory in each the remaining games as
> predicted by Massey's website:
> 
> http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=5279&s=107811
> Date         Opponent       Rk   Result	PF PA	
> Fri 11/25/11   Iowa          35   78 %	35 26
> Sat 11/19/11 @ Michigan     15    50 %	29 28
> Sat 11/12/11 @ Penn St      24    59 %	24 21
> Sat 11/05/11   Northwestern  82   96 %	41 17
> Sat 10/29/11   Michigan St   38   80 %	31 21
> Sat 10/22/11 @ Minnesota    114   95 %	38 17
> Sat 10/08/11   Ohio St       37   80 %	30 19
> Sat 10/01/11 @ Wisconsin      9   24 %	27 34

I'm skeptical of those numbers, since it suggests that Northwestern is less
likely to beat Nebraska than Minnesota.  I'm assuming that Nebraska gets
a slight bump as the home team against Northwestern and Minnesota gets one 
against Nebraska.  

It may all depend on whether Dan Persa is fully recovered from his ruptured 
Achilles heel and whether Martinez can stay healthy.  

Northwestern has done very well against Iowa in recent years, and I 
think they're the only Big Ten team with a three game winning streak 
against Iowa in Iowa City.  

The Big Ten has a long history of having teams knock each other out of
the National Championship picture, I think it will continue to be very difficult
for any team to get through the conference schedule undefeated most years,
maybe even harder with the Huskers in the mix.

The Big Ten conference championship game could prove to be as problematical 
as the Big 12's conference championship game was to Nebraska.
--
Mike Nolan



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