[Husker] Final Big XII men's BB game in Lincoln

[Theodore Heise]

Yeah, but which one would you put your lunch money on?  :)

-- 
Theodore (Ted) Heise     <theo at heise.nu>     Bloomington, IN, USA



On Wed, 2 Mar 2011, gzimmerman5 at kc.rr.com wrote:

> All NU has to do is what they did in '94. Just win the darn tournament. That removes all doubt, they're in.
>
> Now, wasn't thet much more simple than Steve's 6-step program? ;-)
> --
> Greg Zimmerman, UNL '75
> Overland Park, Kansas
>
> ---- Steve Reichenbach <reich at inetnebr.com> wrote:
>> There are many aspects of this scenario, but I got one wrong.
>> A win by ISU isn't as important as I implied.  Even if CU beats
>> ISU, if NU wins in Boulder, NU will have the tiebreaker.  Still,
>> it looks better for NU to be tied for 5th-6th with Missouri than
>> to be tied for 5th-7th with Missouri and Colorado.
>>
>>> The ISU loss was huge, but there still may be a small opening for
>>> the NCAA tournament.  Last night's OSU victory over Baylor may
>>> have left the door open.  If the Big 12 gets six teams in the NCAA
>>> tournament, Nebraska has a shot.
>>>
>>> Now:
>>>
>>> Step 1:  A win by ISU over CU tonight in Ames would put CU at 7-8,
>>> tied for 6th-8th with Nebraska and Baylor.  This is important because
>>> otherwise it appears that CU would have the tiebreaker over NU.
>>>
>>> Step 2:  KU wins in Columbia to drop Missouri to 8-8.  Even though
>>> this is in Columbia and KU is hated there, KU is the better team.
>>> (This isn't a critical result, because, if the subsequent games go
>>> NU's way, Missouri has the tiebreaker over Nebraska for the fifth
>>> seed at the conference tournament.  However, it would allow Nebraska
>>> to tie for fifth in the standings.)
>>>
>>> Step 3:  Texas wins at Baylor, dropping Baylor to 7-9.  I know
>>> Texas has 3 of its last 4 (including NU), but that may provide
>>> some motivation in its last regular season game.  This is important
>>> because otherwise Baylor would have the tiebreaker over NU.
>>>
>>> Step 4:  Nebraska wins at Colorado, raising its record to 8-8 and
>>> dropping Colorado to 7-9 (with Step 1).
>>>
>>> Then, Nebraska finishes at 8-8, tied with Missouri for 5th-6th in
>>> the standings, although Missouri has the tiebreaker with Nebraska
>>> for the conference tournament seed.
>>>
>>> As the 6th seed, NU would open the conference tournament against
>>> the 11th seed, which well could be the loser of tonight's OU-TTU
>>> game.
>>>
>>> Step 5:  Nebraska wins the first game at the conference tournament.
>>>
>>> Then, Nebraska would play the third seed, presumably TAMU or KSU.
>>> If TAMU loses tonight at KU and then beats TTU, they will be 10-6.
>>> If KSU beats ISU at home, they will finish 10-6.  TAMU beat KSU
>>> and so holds the tiebreaker, in which case NU would play TAMU,
>>> which, at this point in the season, might be better than playing
>>> KSU again.
>>>
>>> Step 6:  Nebraska beats TAMU, as they did at home earlier this
>>> season and advances to the semi-finals, against perhaps Texas
>>> (a team NU has beaten) or KSU (which is looking like the team
>>> no one wants to play).
>>>
>>> Nebraska has some good wins, TAMU (twice if they beat them in the
>>> conference tournament), Texas, and Missouri, but several bad losses
>>> (Davison, TTU, and ISU, although none at home).  On its own, NU's
>>> record isn't stellar, but the Big 12 is well respected and if NU is
>>> tied for 5th-6th, I think the strength of the conference and NU's
>>> finish in the standings could help push NU into the NCAA tournament.
>>> If NU can win two games at the conference tournament, it would help
>>> greatly.  If NU loses in the second round of the conference tournament,
>>> making the NCAA tournament would be more of a question mark, even with
>>> Steps 1-5 going Nebraska's way.
>
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