[Husker] Recruiting

[Skylar Dodds]

Absolutely, it takes both to win big.

Keep in mind Prince and Suh, for instance, were brought in by that other guy
and especially Suh was...well...mediocre until a real coach got hold of him

--
Skylar

-----Original Message-----
From: Robert Christensen [mailto:fourbox at nctc.net] 
Sent: Tuesday, December 27, 2011 12:27 PM
To: Mark Landin
Cc: Skylar Dodds; Mike Jaixen; Steven; husker List
Subject: Re: [Husker] Recruiting

I realize that the ratings players receive has a role but I think more is
determined by coaching. He who shall not be named had ranked recruiting
classes but did't deliver. Same for Weis @ ND and Mack Brown. Always top
classes but busted in many respects.


Bob in the Sandhills

Sent from my iPhone

On Dec 27, 2011, at 11:44 AM, Mark Landin <marklandin at gmail.com> wrote:

> You never claimed it was exact, of course. my point was that people 
> shouldn't fixate on "we missed that 5-star and got a 3-star instead".
> While the overall quality of the class seems to correlate to overall 
> team results (although that may in fact be biased in reverse ...
> Athletes recruited by traditional powers who generally perform well 
> often get higher ratings after their scholly offer is revealed), a 
> class is typically not made or broken by one or two players, as 
> grading individuals is often subjective and high star athletes can 
> wash out of college. I know you know this ... Many others fall prey to 
> the fallacy, though.
> 
> On 12/27/11, Skylar Dodds <sklarbodds at cox.net> wrote:
>> If you can point to the part of my message where I said that it was 
>> exact, I would appreciate it.  In fact, I would rather you re-read 
>> the part where I said there are busts and there are 'diamonds in the
rough'.
>> 
>> Thanks.
>> 
>> But of the overall trends, no MNCs for teams who don't do well in 
>> rankings, highest percentage of 'successful' recruits coming from 5 
>> stars, then 4 stars, then 3 stars, etc. etc.
>> 
>> Basically, look at it this way (these numbers are 100% made up, but I 
>> know that the principle is true):
>> 
>> If you land a 5*, you have a 20% chance of him becoming an 
>> all-conference player
>> 4* that number drops to 10%
>> 3* that number drops to 5%
>> 2* that number drops to 2%
>> 
>> And so on.  Those aren't the actual numbers (I don't have them or the 
>> time to find them again, but I have seen them) but the actual numbers 
>> DO mirror the star level.
>> 
>> Make sense?  Again, I'm not saying recruiting rankings is everything, 
>> not even close.  But to say it's nothing is just ignorant.
>> 
>> --
>> Skylar


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