[Husker] Recruiting
Robert Christensen
fourbox at nctc.net
Tue Dec 27 12:26:54 CST 2011
I realize that the ratings players receive has a role but I think more is determined by coaching. He who shall not be named had ranked recruiting classes but did't deliver. Same for Weis @ ND and Mack Brown. Always top classes but busted in many respects.
Bob in the Sandhills
Sent from my iPhone
On Dec 27, 2011, at 11:44 AM, Mark Landin <marklandin at gmail.com> wrote:
> You never claimed it was exact, of course. my point was that people
> shouldn't fixate on "we missed that 5-star and got a 3-star instead".
> While the overall quality of the class seems to correlate to overall
> team results (although that may in fact be biased in reverse ...
> Athletes recruited by traditional powers who generally perform well
> often get higher ratings after their scholly offer is revealed), a
> class is typically not made or broken by one or two players, as
> grading individuals is often subjective and high star athletes can
> wash out of college. I know you know this ... Many others fall prey to
> the fallacy, though.
>
> On 12/27/11, Skylar Dodds <sklarbodds at cox.net> wrote:
>> If you can point to the part of my message where I said that it was exact, I
>> would appreciate it. In fact, I would rather you re-read the part where I
>> said there are busts and there are 'diamonds in the rough'.
>>
>> Thanks.
>>
>> But of the overall trends, no MNCs for teams who don't do well in rankings,
>> highest percentage of 'successful' recruits coming from 5 stars, then 4
>> stars, then 3 stars, etc. etc.
>>
>> Basically, look at it this way (these numbers are 100% made up, but I know
>> that the principle is true):
>>
>> If you land a 5*, you have a 20% chance of him becoming an all-conference
>> player
>> 4* that number drops to 10%
>> 3* that number drops to 5%
>> 2* that number drops to 2%
>>
>> And so on. Those aren't the actual numbers (I don't have them or the time
>> to find them again, but I have seen them) but the actual numbers DO mirror
>> the star level.
>>
>> Make sense? Again, I'm not saying recruiting rankings is everything, not
>> even close. But to say it's nothing is just ignorant.
>>
>> --
>> Skylar
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