[Husker] Close game?

[Aaron Wolfson]

It's unfortunate that the computers make Idaho look weaker than they really
are. I think we really have to take those rankings with a grain of salt this
early in the season. I also think there will be a lot of money made on
Nebraska this weekend, thanks to that.

Aaron


On Wed, Sep 15, 2010 at 4:14 PM, Steve Reichenbach <reich at inetnebr.com>wrote:

>
> The WKU vs Kentucky game didn't help the Huskers either.  I heard
> speculation that WKU would be better this year, but Kentucky led
> 42-14 at the half and won 63-28.  And, Kentucky hasn't shown much,
> winning 23-16 against Louisville (which beat Eastern Kentucky 23-13).
> As a point of comparison, Missouri St beat Eastern Kentucky by 31-9,
> so squeeking out a win against Louisville (even on the road) doesn't
> make Kentucky look so good.
>
> Here are some the WKU - Kentucky stats compared to WKU - NU.
>            WKU    UK   WKU    NU
> 1st Downs    14    22    14    23
> Total Yards 284   482   299   536
> By this comparison, NU isn't much better than a pretty weak Kentucky
> team.
>
> Idaho did wallop North Dakota 45-0, but North Dakota lost to N Illinois
> 23-17, which lost to Iowa State 27-10, which lost to Iowa 35-7, which
> might lead one to conclude that North Dakota is so far down the totem
> pole (so to speak) that Idaho's big win doesn't mean much.
>
> At this point, all one can say is that NU didn't struggle to beat
> two very weak teams at home.  You can't blame the computers for
> indicating that NU hasn't shown much yet.
>
> I've been thinking that NU could do the same to better teams as it did
> with those weaker teams, but we'll see.
>
>
> > Somewhat surprising to me as well. Originally I might have attributed
> > it to the scores being a bit closer than they should have been the
> > last two weeks...but Washington hasn't been terribly impressive either.
> > (Losing to BYU and trailing Syracuse 10-0 before finally getting things
> > straightend out.) Sagarin is especially unimpressed with Nebraska; that
> > computer has the Huskers ranked in the 30's.
> >
> > > I wasn't thinking of this as a close game, even on the road, and was
> > > very surprised to see the line at 3 points.  So, I looked at a couple
> > > of the best computer ratings (Sagarin and Massey) and see that the
> > > matchup might even be closer (although it should be said that at this
> > > point in the season the computer ratings are based on little data and
> > > are highly volitile).  So, I'm surprised that NU isn't a bigger
> favorite.
>
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