[Husker] Early game line

[Steve Reichenbach]

> Nebraska -6.0 

That _is_ surprising.

Sagarin has NU by 0.16 and Massey MOV has NU 24.5 to 20.2 with a 63%
likelihood of winning, but some other computers seem to have MU the
favorite.  I am surprised that NU is anything more than a 3-point
favorite.

Still, I think this may be a tough game for Mizzou to win unless NU
hands it to them (as NU did to Texas and OU did to Mizzou).  If NU
plays well, I think they win, but it will be a challenge.  NU's O-line
run blocking has not been dominant in recent games (albeit against
stacked defenses) and both Mizzou's lines looked pretty good (although
Mizzou lost their starting Nose Tackle in the OU game).  I don't
think Mizzou's offense is nearly as good as OSU's (so they likely won't
score 41), but I think Mizzou's defense is better (so NU likely won't
score 51).  Also, I think the OU win will be a bigger high for Mizzou
to come off of, even playing Nebraska.  And, I think that Gabbert will
feel more pressure to beat NU than Martinez and the Huskers will feel
(which may be better, given the Texas game hype and result).

OU mistook itself out of quite a few points and still scored 27.
I think NU can score more.  If NU's defense plays two halves, I think
they can hold Mizzou to less than that.  If NU wins the turnovers and
doesn't give up special teams plays, I think NU beats even a spread
of 6.  The weather forecast for next Saturday is sunny and windy with
a high of 68F, so I think the scores may be higher than Massey predicts.
I'll guess NU 31, Mizzou 24.