[Husker] I thought you should see this story

Steve Reichenbach reich at inetnebr.com
Tue Oct 12 11:24:49 CDT 2010


Boise State and TCU have an advantage in the BCS process in that they
play relatively weaker schedules, so going undefeated is much more likely
and undefeated teams have a strong argument to be in the BCS Championship
game.

Oregon, Ohio St, Nebraska, etc. have an advantage in the BCS process
in that they play relatively stronger schedules, so that if they go
undefeated they have favor over teams that play weaker schedules.

The only way that either Boise State or TCU have a shot at the BCS
Championship game is if there are fewer than two undefeated teams
from the SEC, Big 10, Big 12, or PAC 10.  I don't know that teams in
the Big East or ACC have the same advantage anymore.


> There's an article on Rivals that looks at the 13 undefeated teams, the
> only one it predicts to go undefeated is Boise State, though it predicts
> just one loss for eight of them, including Nebraska and Oklahoma.
> 
> I agree that Boise State will have to trip over its blue turf to lose
> a game, so they will take Nevada out of the picture, if they're still
> in it by then.
> 
> I also don't think Ohio State will stumble and I think TCU may emerge
> unscathed as well, knocking Utah out.  Of Oregon and Nebraska, I think 
> one will stumble, hopefully the Ducks, but Nebraska could still lose
> two conference games.  If Oklahoma makes it to the Big XII Championship 
> game without a loss (50-50 chance at best), Nebraska could knock them 
> out of the undefeated ranks.  
> 
> Auburn will lose to Bama.  LSU could get to the SEC game unbeaten, but
> I think they've been pushing their luck.
> 
> I think Oklahoma State will lose at least three games and Mizzou at least 
> two.
> 
> Michigan State doesn't have to play Ohio State, but they do have
> some challenging road games coming up and JoePa could play the spoiler
> in November, though I don't know that he'll get win #400 this year.  (Of 
> course what I'd really like to see is Sparty lose to Northwestern in 
> two weeks, a homecoming win would be sweet!)  
> 
> So right now I see three undefeated teams, possibly four or five:
> 
> Boise State
> TCU
> Ohio State
> Nebraska (maybe)
> Michigan State (BIG maybe)
> 
> If Ohio State stumbles (most likely on Nov 20th in Iowa City) along with 
> Nebraska and Michigan State, the two remaining undefeated teams would be 
> Boise State and TCU.  
> 
> Take that, BCS!



More information about the husker mailing list