[Husker] Game worries

[Paul Dalen]

True. But upsets are rare. The better team rarely loses, especially at
home.  I wish I had time to do the research on this, but I'll bet that
when a top five team plays an unranked team at home, the ranked team
wins in at least 95% of the games, maybe close to 99%.

Sent from my iPhone

On Oct 11, 2010, at 10:18 PM, <dmennenga at kc.rr.com> wrote:

> You've conveniently forgotten that Nebraska was favored by at least three touchdowns over the Longhorns in the 1996 Big XII Championship game...  I had the opportunity to watch that debacle in St. Louis in person.
>
> Or were you looking for reasons NOT to worry about next week's game??
>
>
> ---- Scott Lawson <scott71lawson at yahoo.com> wrote:
>> I've seen the spreads posted for this game and the early line is Nebraska giving 10 points on some sites. I do not remember Nebraska ever being favored by 10 against the Horns, but I could be wrong. I realize the line is for betting reasons, but 10 is still pretty high.
>>
>> I am not as worried as I was three weeks ago.
>>
>> Scott in NY
>> (horns DOWN)
>>
>> --- On Sun, 10/10/10, Andrew Smith <arossman at earthlink.net> wrote:
>>
>> From: Andrew Smith <arossman at earthlink.net>
>> Subject: [Husker] Game worries
>> To: "Husker List" <husker at tssi.com>
>> Date: Sunday, October 10, 2010, 9:56 PM
>>
>> While there are many reasons to optimistic about the game against Texas (see the below)
>>
>>            ---- Sagarin -----  ----------------------- NCAA Stats -----------------------
>>            Sched Rank  Rating  Pass Off  Rush Off  Scor Off  Pass Def  Rush Def  Scor Def
>> Nebraska      76       86.01     106       2           9        1        57         4
>> Texas         32       71.70      53      82          80        8        19        36
>>
>> there are reasons not to be over confident.
>>
>> Nebraska's schedule rank is 76 vs Texas' 32.  Therefore the dominating offensive/defensive rankings are misleading.
>>
>> Nebraska's 57th ranked rushing defense is very worrisome.
>>
>> Texas' rushing defense is even better than #19 if you look at average yards/rush. I will not be surprised if Texas is able to force Nebraska to pass. I believe that when a top offense meets a top defense, the defense usually wins and the offense makes mistakes since it's hard for offenses to be patient.  Add in a freshman QB and patience may be even more of an issue.  With a #106 passing offense against a #8 pass defense, too many interceptions by Martinez are quite possible.
>>
>> Nebraska performance against South Dakota State shows they are capable of playing well below their potential. SDS is a bad (1-4) AA team and the closer than expected game cannot be written off to turnovers (Nebraska had only 1 more than SDS).  Texas' worst performance was against UCLA and turnovers (3 more than UCLA) was a big factor.  IMHO, Nebraska's worst performance is well below Texas'.
>>
>> Texas' seems to save its best for Nebraska, often upsetting the Huskers when the underdog.
>>
>> I hope all of my concerns are proven wrong.
>>
>> GO BIG RED!
>> Andy
>>
>>
>>
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