[Husker] Game worries

[Scott Lawson]

I've seen the spreads posted for this game and the early line is Nebraska giving 10 points on some sites. I do not remember Nebraska ever being favored by 10 against the Horns, but I could be wrong. I realize the line is for betting reasons, but 10 is still pretty high.

I am not as worried as I was three weeks ago.

Scott in NY
(horns DOWN)

--- On Sun, 10/10/10, Andrew Smith <arossman at earthlink.net> wrote:

From: Andrew Smith <arossman at earthlink.net>
Subject: [Husker] Game worries
To: "Husker List" <husker at tssi.com>
Date: Sunday, October 10, 2010, 9:56 PM

 While there are many reasons to optimistic about the game against Texas (see the below)

           ---- Sagarin -----  ----------------------- NCAA Stats -----------------------
           Sched Rank  Rating  Pass Off  Rush Off  Scor Off  Pass Def  Rush Def  Scor Def
 Nebraska      76       86.01     106       2           9        1        57         4
 Texas         32       71.70      53      82          80        8        19        36

there are reasons not to be over confident.

Nebraska's schedule rank is 76 vs Texas' 32.  Therefore the dominating offensive/defensive rankings are misleading.

Nebraska's 57th ranked rushing defense is very worrisome.

Texas' rushing defense is even better than #19 if you look at average yards/rush. I will not be surprised if Texas is able to force Nebraska to pass. I believe that when a top offense meets a top defense, the defense usually wins and the offense makes mistakes since it's hard for offenses to be patient.  Add in a freshman QB and patience may be even more of an issue.  With a #106 passing offense against a #8 pass defense, too many interceptions by Martinez are quite possible.

Nebraska performance against South Dakota State shows they are capable of playing well below their potential. SDS is a bad (1-4) AA team and the closer than expected game cannot be written off to turnovers (Nebraska had only 1 more than SDS).  Texas' worst performance was against UCLA and turnovers (3 more than UCLA) was a big factor.  IMHO, Nebraska's worst performance is well below Texas'.

Texas' seems to save its best for Nebraska, often upsetting the Huskers when the underdog.

I hope all of my concerns are proven wrong.

GO BIG RED!
Andy



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