[Husker] Colorado vs Nebraska stats

[Lawson, Scott R.]

When I look at the "big picture", if Nebraska loses this game at home to a far inferior opponent (even if Martinez is out or hobbled) they don't deserve to be in the Big 12 title game anyway.

Even though they always seem to play well vs the Huskers the players will be motivated, Colorado is a joke and Nebraska should easily handle them. Of course, as you mention, ISU was supposed to be an easy win too.

Scott in NY


-----Original Message-----
From: husker-bounces at tssi.com [mailto:husker-bounces at tssi.com] On Behalf Of Andrew Smith
Sent: Tuesday, November 23, 2010 10:13 PM
To: Husker List
Subject: [Husker] Colorado vs Nebraska stats

The stats say this is an easy win, but they said the same thing about 
ISU and KU.

Nebraska SHOULD win - Colorado is not nearly as good on either side of 
the ball as A&M - but I'll be pleasantly surprised if Nebraska covers 
the spread. Nebraska has only a short rest after a very physical game 
against A&M, Martinez is still hurt, and Colorado has momentum and needs 
this win to be bowl eligible.

Sagarin's Predictor Model gives Nebraska a 19 advantage over Colorado.
   86 - 70 + 3 (HFA) = 19

Sagarin gives Colorado a better SOS: #14 for Colorado vs #36 for Nebraska.

Nebraska Offense vs Colorado Defense

Rushing         #7  vs  #28 - ~#41 in ave.yards/rush
Passing       #106  vs #113 - I think passing efficiency is a better 
measure.
Passing Eff.   #44  vs #109
Total          #32  vs  #82
Scoring        #28  vs  #84

Colorado Offense vs Nebraska Defense

Rushing        #81  vs  #57 - ~#39 in ave.yards/rush
Passing        #56  vs   #2 - I think passing efficiency is a better 
measure.
Passing Eff.   #57  vs   #1
Total          #70  vs   #9
Scoring        #81  vs   #9

By ranking, Colorado has the 2nd best rush defense Nebraska has faced - 
A&M being the best, Texas the 3rd best.  It's not a coincidence that 
both of those games were NU losses.  There is some consolation if 
average yards/rush is used, where Colorado is the 4th best rush defense 
NU has faced, but not enough to allay my concerns.

Nebraska should be able to pass against Colorado -  Colorado has the 
worst pass defense Nebraska has faced - but Nebraska's passing 
performance against ISU, KU, and A&M was pretty poor (about 100).

Go Big Red!
Andy

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