[Husker] Colorado vs Nebraska stats

[Andrew Smith]

The stats say this is an easy win, but they said the same thing about 
ISU and KU.

Nebraska SHOULD win - Colorado is not nearly as good on either side of 
the ball as A&M - but I'll be pleasantly surprised if Nebraska covers 
the spread. Nebraska has only a short rest after a very physical game 
against A&M, Martinez is still hurt, and Colorado has momentum and needs 
this win to be bowl eligible.

Sagarin's Predictor Model gives Nebraska a 19 advantage over Colorado.
   86 - 70 + 3 (HFA) = 19

Sagarin gives Colorado a better SOS: #14 for Colorado vs #36 for Nebraska.

Nebraska Offense vs Colorado Defense

Rushing         #7  vs  #28 - ~#41 in ave.yards/rush
Passing       #106  vs #113 - I think passing efficiency is a better 
measure.
Passing Eff.   #44  vs #109
Total          #32  vs  #82
Scoring        #28  vs  #84

Colorado Offense vs Nebraska Defense

Rushing        #81  vs  #57 - ~#39 in ave.yards/rush
Passing        #56  vs   #2 - I think passing efficiency is a better 
measure.
Passing Eff.   #57  vs   #1
Total          #70  vs   #9
Scoring        #81  vs   #9

By ranking, Colorado has the 2nd best rush defense Nebraska has faced - 
A&M being the best, Texas the 3rd best.  It's not a coincidence that 
both of those games were NU losses.  There is some consolation if 
average yards/rush is used, where Colorado is the 4th best rush defense 
NU has faced, but not enough to allay my concerns.

Nebraska should be able to pass against Colorado -  Colorado has the 
worst pass defense Nebraska has faced - but Nebraska's passing 
performance against ISU, KU, and A&M was pretty poor (about 100).

Go Big Red!
Andy