[Husker] Nebraska vs Texas A&M stats

Andrew Smith arossman at earthlink.net
Fri Nov 19 22:10:38 CST 2010


Sagarin's Predictor Model gives Texas A&M a 2 advantage over Nebraska.
   85 - 84 - 3 (HFA) = -2

Sagarin gives A&M a better SOS: #18 for A&M vs #55 for Nebraska, 
suggesting that the following NCAA stats give A&M less credit than they 
deserve.

Nebraska Offense vs Texas A&M Defense

Rushing         #7  vs  #13
Passing       #108  vs #102 - but I think passing efficiency is a better 
measure.
Passing Eff.   #31  vs  #30
Total          #22  vs  #55
Scoring        #17  vs  #41

Texas A&M Offense vs Nebraska Defense

Rushing        #52  vs  #63
Passing         #8  vs   #2 - but I think passing efficiency is a better 
measure.
Passing Eff.   #49  vs   #1
Total          #12  vs   #6
Scoring        #21  vs  #10

It's important to note that A&M's QB, Tannehill, only played in the last 
4 games and has a rating of 156.61 so I they are a better passing team 
than their stats suggest.  On the other hand, Nebraska is better at 
sacks (#19 vs #37), interceptions (#6 vs #38) and sacks allowed (#36 vs 
#108).

Texas A&M has mostly played poor rushing teams.  Baylor (#24) and 
Oklahoma St. (#30) are the best they've played.  Texas A&M gave up 291 
yards to Baylor but only 67 to Oklahoma St. so I don't know what to 
think!  OSU's rusher got 101 yards (the -34 includes QB sacks), but still.

Besides the obvious factors - turnovers, etc. - I think this game will 
come down to which offense can establish a balanced attack.  I think 
that if Nebraska isn't afraid to mix in more passing, they'll be able to 
move the ball on Texas A&M while using their pass defense to slow down 
A&M's offense.

Go Big Red!
Andy



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