[Husker] Nebraska vs Texas A&M stats
Andrew Smith
arossman at earthlink.net
Fri Nov 19 22:10:38 CST 2010
Sagarin's Predictor Model gives Texas A&M a 2 advantage over Nebraska.
85 - 84 - 3 (HFA) = -2
Sagarin gives A&M a better SOS: #18 for A&M vs #55 for Nebraska,
suggesting that the following NCAA stats give A&M less credit than they
deserve.
Nebraska Offense vs Texas A&M Defense
Rushing #7 vs #13
Passing #108 vs #102 - but I think passing efficiency is a better
measure.
Passing Eff. #31 vs #30
Total #22 vs #55
Scoring #17 vs #41
Texas A&M Offense vs Nebraska Defense
Rushing #52 vs #63
Passing #8 vs #2 - but I think passing efficiency is a better
measure.
Passing Eff. #49 vs #1
Total #12 vs #6
Scoring #21 vs #10
It's important to note that A&M's QB, Tannehill, only played in the last
4 games and has a rating of 156.61 so I they are a better passing team
than their stats suggest. On the other hand, Nebraska is better at
sacks (#19 vs #37), interceptions (#6 vs #38) and sacks allowed (#36 vs
#108).
Texas A&M has mostly played poor rushing teams. Baylor (#24) and
Oklahoma St. (#30) are the best they've played. Texas A&M gave up 291
yards to Baylor but only 67 to Oklahoma St. so I don't know what to
think! OSU's rusher got 101 yards (the -34 includes QB sacks), but still.
Besides the obvious factors - turnovers, etc. - I think this game will
come down to which offense can establish a balanced attack. I think
that if Nebraska isn't afraid to mix in more passing, they'll be able to
move the ball on Texas A&M while using their pass defense to slow down
A&M's offense.
Go Big Red!
Andy
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