[Husker] Holiday Bowl lines

[Nick Chevance]

On Mon, Dec 21, 2009 at 6:13 PM, Todd Richards <toddlowell at yahoo.com> wrote:

> Well then....  I guess I put the house, the kids, and the wife on the under
> at Nick's suggestion.  Don't worry Nick, I won't hold you responsible,,,,,,,
> unless I lose....
>
> Todd in Tennessee
>

Well, Todd, not too much pressure there 8^)  But say it ain't so.  I
couldn't live with myself if I were responsible for the break up of
someone's family!!!  Homeless on New Year's Eve.  Oh, the horror!!!!

But you gotta admit, an under at 40 points looks mighty attractive.  Since
the Mizzou game, we've averaged 18 points a game (a high against Kansas [31]
and a low against Iowa St [7]).  I don't see Arizona any worse than some of
our better opponents this year, but not terribly better than them either.
And we held all opponents to an average of 13 points (since Mizzou).  Take
away the TTech game (an aberration) and the 20 points that Colorado got
(that extra 6 points that really just didn't matter), and the average goes
down to almost 10 points per game.

So, I figure Arizona, not a high powered offense (they seem to be more
opportunistic than a scoring machine - very much like us) will be lucky to
score more than 14.  Their defense is better than their offense, so our
ability to score (sound familiar?) will be dependent on where our defense
gets us the ball.  If we control field position again, they will have
trouble scoring and we'll have short fields to get points.  I predict a low
scoring game, and that's why I think the 40 points may be a huge hurdle for
these teams to get over.

Now, don't bet the farm on what I say, because I don't bet on sports, and
frankly, what do I know?????  But this looks like the closest I see to a
'fer sure' thing this bowl season.

I'll stick my neck out and say Huskers 20 - Wildcats 13.

Now watch Watson pull one out of his @ss and we score 40.  I can see it
coming.

Nick
--
"Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake."
    Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821)