[Husker] Holiday Bowl lines
Steve Reichenbach
reich at inetnebr.com
Mon Dec 21 16:20:16 CST 2009
When the line moves towards making Arizona more of a favorite, it
means that people are betting on Arizona. It is the books way of
trying to get people to bet on Nebraska in order to even the wagers.
It is puzzling to me apparently many people are betting on Arizona
either even or as a slight favorite when most computers pick Nebraka.
> > It appears that Arizona is a one to 1.5 point favorite over NU.
> > By some accounts, the line has moved in Arizona's favor. The
> > over/under is 40, which is the lowest of any bowl game.
> >
> > Looking at these computer ratings, it is difficult to see why the
> > betting line favors Arizona (i.e., why more people are betting on
> > Arizona when most computers favor NU).
>
> But if the betting line favors a team, doesn't that mean the bookies
> are trying to get folks to bet more on the favorite in hopes that when
> the game is done, the money is spread evenly between wins and losses
> (or actually would favor losses cuz that's profits for the bookies).
> On a close game like this, it would seem that bettors may be favoring
> the Huskers too, and line is intended to bring the money bet on the
> game closer to even on both sides. Someone will correct this if I'm
> wrong, but I often get confused by this. All the more reason why I
> don't bet on anything.
>
> But if I WERE a betting man, I'd take that under. I don't think
> either team will score over 14-17 points.
>
> Nick
> --
> "Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake."
> Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821)
>
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