[Husker] Holiday Bowl lines

[Aaron Wolfson]

With such a close spread and low under, Vegas is basically saying they don't
have a clue. I think you're right, this line is mostly about moving money.
FWIW, I don't think there is a clear favorite either.

Aaron


On Mon, Dec 21, 2009 at 3:42 PM, Nick Chevance <nickchevance at gmail.com>wrote:

> On Mon, Dec 21, 2009 at 1:54 PM, Steve Reichenbach <reich at inetnebr.com>
> wrote:
> > It appears that Arizona is a one to 1.5 point favorite over NU.
> > By some accounts, the line has moved in Arizona's favor.  The
> > over/under is 40, which is the lowest of any bowl game.
> >
> > Looking at these computer ratings, it is difficult to see why the
> > betting line favors Arizona (i.e., why more people are betting on
> > Arizona when most computers favor NU).
>
> But if the betting line favors a team, doesn't that mean the bookies
> are trying to get folks to bet more on the favorite in hopes that when
> the game is done, the money is spread evenly between wins and losses
> (or actually would favor losses cuz that's profits for the bookies).
> On a close game like this, it would seem that bettors may be favoring
> the Huskers too, and line is intended to bring the money bet on the
> game closer to even on both sides.  Someone will correct this if I'm
> wrong, but I often get confused by this.  All the more reason why I
> don't bet on anything.
>
> But if I WERE a betting man, I'd take that under.  I don't think
> either team will score over 14-17 points.
>
> Nick
> --
> "Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake."
>     Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821)
>
> _______________________________________________
> husker site list
> husker at tssi.com
> http://romaine.tssi.com/mailman/listinfo/husker
>