[Husker] Nebraska beat TX Tech

[Steve Reichenbach]

While NU probably would be favored to win 5 of the 8, the losses are
pretty likely (according to this predictor) --- 15%, 20%, and 30%
chances of winning --- while the wins are much more in doubt ---
51%, 56%, 61%, 63%, and 85%.  If my quick computations are correct
and you take those as the odds of the outcome of each independent
game, then the odds for the rest of the season are:
  Odds of 0 wins:  0.22%
  Odds of 1 wins:  2.69%
  Odds of 2 wins: 11.78%
  Odds of 3 wins: 25.63%
  Odds of 4 wins: 30.63%
  Odds of 5 wins: 20.41%
  Odds of 6 wins:  7.29%
  Odds of 7 wins:  1.27%
  Odds of 8 wins:  0.08%
So, the odds of finishing at least .500 would be less than 30% even
though NU is favored in five of the eight remaining games.  With
those odds, finishing 7-9 is more likely and odds of 6-10 or worse
are about 40%.



> Actually.... looking at pomeroy's predictions, we'll be at 8-8 at the  
> end of the season.
> 
> http://kenpom.com/sked.php?y=2008&team=Nebraska&t=p
> 
> > There aren't any more "must wins" this year (unless they are all
> > "must wins") because they have almost no chance of going to the NCAA
> > tournament.  Even getting back to .500 in the conference seems a
> > stretch.  Very likely losses are @A&M and @Texas and likely KSU.  That
> > means (barring an upset in those games) to finish at .500 in the
> > conference, NU would have to win the other five: Missouri, OU, and
> > Colorado in Lincoln and ISU and OSU on the road.  All five are
> > winnable, but winning all five (or pulling an upset in one of the  
> > other
> > three) will be tough.
> >
> > Texas Tech really isn't very good.  They're 12-10 overall and 3-5 in
> > conference --- three home wins with two of them against teams with
> > worse conference records.  Do you think Knight would have gotten so
> > tired of coaching if his team was going to the NCAA tournament this
> > year?
> >
> > Still, NU played pretty well against Texas Tech except for giving up
> > too many offensive rebounds (15).
> >
> >
> >>> [W]as this as good of a win as it looked on the Highlights or is TT
> >>> bad now without Knight  ( Bobby that  is...)
> >>
> >> It wasn't necessarily a must win but it was a fairly important win.
> >> The Huskers have now won three out four after opening the Conference
> >> season 0-4.  The conference season certainly isn't in the books but  
> >> if the
> >> Huskers could finish the conference at or above .500 it would appear
> >> Sadler may have things going the right direction.
> >> [...]
> >> I think it was a good win.  Teams don't go "bad" in two games just
> >> because there was a coaching change.  There are some subtle changes
> >> but basically they are still running the same thing they ran when Bob
> >> Knight was the coach.  You aren't going to make wholesale changes in
> >> philosphy and attack with 10 games left in the season.
> >>