[Husker] Spring game predictions?

[Mike Jaixen]

I think making any predictions on this year's spring
game on the basis of what happened last year is likely
futile.  I'll give you a couple of stats to chew on.

Defensive Scoring:
September:  133 points allowed in 5 games; 26.6
average
November:  172 points allowed in 3 games; 57.3 average

Did the defense somehow become less talented during
the season?  Less experienced?  Highly unlikely.

Was it something else?  I'd argue yes.

The program has seen some significant changes.  All
new coaches on defense.  By all accounts, players are
have lost weight and gained speed, quickness, and
agility.  Is the mental outlook better?  That we don't
know, and probably won't know until October at the
earliest.  But judging from what I observed last
October and November,  it probably would be a good
bet.

What does this mean?  I'm expecting different from
last year, so I'm suggesting that we throw away last
year's results as any sort of starting point.

Factor in a new way of assembling the teams, and I'm
not sure that points really matter in this game.  I'm
looking more for execution.  Are players "making
plays" or "making mistakes".  Are players hustling? 
What is the effort like?



--- Don Mares <donmares at gmail.com> wrote:

> Any predictions out there for point total for
> Saturday's game?
> 
> Given a few last year's statistics ...
> 
> Offense Scoring = 33.4 points per game #28 in
> country
> Total Offense = 468.3 yards per game #9 in country
> 
> Defense Scoring = 37.9 points per game #119 in
> country
> Total Defense = 476.8 yards per game #112 in country
> 
> ... one would expect a rather high scoring game even
> if it is evenly divided
> on both sides of the ball.
> 
> There isn't much to go on but I would be surprised
> if the winning "color"
> scores 35 points in this "game" or accumulates more
> than 400 yards of
> total offense.  I'm thinking it will be more like 24
> - 20 range.
> 
> What do you consider a good score for a intra squad
> scrimmage?



Mike Jaixen
Blog: http://huskermike.blogspot.com


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