[personal] Re: [Husker] Oklahoma State

[Skylar Dodds]

> This could be a critical aspect.  Will NU's good punt defense shut
> down OSU's good punt returns?  Despite its anemic performance on punt
> returns, can NU get returns against a shaky OSU punt defense?)

You assume there's going to be punting in this game?  Not by what both
defenses look like :)

Great post BTW.  I love these where you have a lot of facts and statistics
rather than feelings.

Should be an interesting game.

--
Skylar
mailto: sklarbodds at cox.net

> On special teams:
> NU has the edge on avg net punting 38yds (#23) to 34yds (#81).
> OSU has the edge on avg punt returns 13yds (#32) to 6ypds (#94), but
> NU has the edge on avg punt return defense 6yds (#26) to 20ypds (#116).
> NU has a slight edge on avg kickoff returns 22ypds (#52) to 20yds (#80)
> and a tiny edge on kickoff return defense.
> (Despite moving the kickoff back, it appears that there is still more
> opportunity on punt returns, where NU has been good on defense but not
> so good on offense.)
> 
> NU has a -.5 turnover margin (#80), but better thans OSU's -1 (#101).
> (Winning the turnover margin in a close game could be critical.)
> 
> Looking at these factors, it could come down to a punt return or a
> turnover.  Doesn't that sound like what the talking heads will say
> (if they even talk about this game).
> 
> NU has been better at home and OSU has struggled on the road.  That
> difference could be worth more than the typical 3pts.   I think the
> fans will show up and be loud to open the game.  I hope the team gives
> them reason to keep it up.
> 
> I'll guess NU 31-27.
> 
> Unless NU wins this game, looking further ahead is dicouraging.  On
> NU's remaining schedule, OSU is the lowest rated team (by a pretty good
> margin) and NU is barely favored at home.  If they don't turn it around
> from last week, it could be a very disappointing season.  A loss this
> week likely would make NU an underdog in every remaining game.  Who
> would have guessed we'd think 4-8 would look like a possibility midway
> through the season?
> 
> 
> >
> > Don't know anything about them personally but here is some info:
> >
> >  - ranked 14th in Total Offense
> >     52st passing
> >     10th rushing
> > - ranked 92nd in Total Defense
> >     26th rushing defense
> >     116th passing defense
> >
> > They are 3-3, winning all their home games against Florida Atlantic
> > 42-6, Texas Tech 49-45, and Sam Houston State 39-3. Lost all their
> road
> > games against Georgia 35-14, Troy 41-23, and Texas A&M 24-23.  They
> are
> > 1-11 in road games under Mike Gundy.  They have two good RBs in
> senior
> > RB Dantrell Savage (5.8 ypc) and Kendall Hunter (7.6 ypc).  Best
> > receiver appears to be Adarius Bowman.
> 
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