[Husker] 2 pt charts (Subj. changed)

[George Rapp]

I think Andrew inadvertently shows below why these charts exist (even if
flawed).  Can you imagine some head coaches trying to calculate the expected
value of 1-vs-2 pts, immersed in the heat of battle, in less than 25
seconds?  Delay of game flags a'plenty!  8^)

On 11/12/06, Andrew Smith <arossman at earthlink.net> wrote:
>
> One problem with most 2 point conversion charts is that they do not take
> into consideration the time left in the game.  With more time left in
> the game, it's usually best to kick the extra point.  I've seen a few
> cases where a team went for 2 only to regret it because of how the rest
> of the games scoring played out.  Consider this games scenario of
> 21-19.  With sufficient time for further scoring of, for example, 6(2
> fgs) - 7(td+ep), a failed 2 points conversion loses the game while the
> extra point ties.  Or 7 (td+ep) - 9 (fg + td + failed 2 point try) with
> the failed 2 point try only necessary because of the first.
>
> The second one tries to handle this, but must have some other
> deficiencies.  In the second example they give, leading by 4 with 5
> minutes left, suggests that going for 2 would make sense if the team has
> a 47% or better chance of making it.  Considering that the most likely
> further scoring which would make the decision matter is 3-7, I'd go for
> 2 only if the odds were almost as high as an extra point.
>
> Andy
>
> Ken Oliver wrote:
>
> >-----Original Message-----
> >
> >
> >>From: George Rapp <george.rapp at gmail.com>
> >>
> >>
> >>There supposedly exists a chart that coaches use to decide whether to go
> for
> >>1 or 2 (e.g., if the TD puts you up by 1, go for 2; down by 8, go for 1;
> >>etc.).  It eliminates all of the permutational calculations that coaches
> >>would otherwise have to make after a touchdown.  With all of the
> football
> >>experience on this list, maybe somebody can provide a copy of, or a
> pointer
> >>to, such a chart.
> >>
> >>George
> >>
> >>
> >
> >Some links:
> >
> >http://www.geocities.com/thekickinggame/2ptchart.htm
> >
> >http://www.footballcommentary.com/twoptchart.htm
> >
> >Buy your own here:
> >
> >
> http://cgi.ebay.com/FOOTBALL-2-POINT-CONVERSION-CHART_W0QQitemZ120048299954QQcmdZViewItem
> >
> >
> >_______________________________________________
> >husker site list
> >husker at tssi.com
> >http://romaine.tssi.com/mailman/listinfo/husker
> >
> >
> >
> >
>
> _______________________________________________
> husker site list
> husker at tssi.com
> http://romaine.tssi.com/mailman/listinfo/husker
>