[Husker] 2 pt charts (Subj. changed)

Andrew Smith arossman at earthlink.net
Sun Nov 12 16:00:54 CST 2006


One problem with most 2 point conversion charts is that they do not take 
into consideration the time left in the game.  With more time left in 
the game, it's usually best to kick the extra point.  I've seen a few 
cases where a team went for 2 only to regret it because of how the rest 
of the games scoring played out.  Consider this games scenario of 
21-19.  With sufficient time for further scoring of, for example, 6(2 
fgs) - 7(td+ep), a failed 2 points conversion loses the game while the 
extra point ties.  Or 7 (td+ep) - 9 (fg + td + failed 2 point try) with 
the failed 2 point try only necessary because of the first.

The second one tries to handle this, but must have some other 
deficiencies.  In the second example they give, leading by 4 with 5 
minutes left, suggests that going for 2 would make sense if the team has 
a 47% or better chance of making it.  Considering that the most likely 
further scoring which would make the decision matter is 3-7, I'd go for 
2 only if the odds were almost as high as an extra point.

Andy

Ken Oliver wrote:

>-----Original Message-----
>  
>
>>From: George Rapp <george.rapp at gmail.com>
>>    
>>
>>There supposedly exists a chart that coaches use to decide whether to go for
>>1 or 2 (e.g., if the TD puts you up by 1, go for 2; down by 8, go for 1;
>>etc.).  It eliminates all of the permutational calculations that coaches
>>would otherwise have to make after a touchdown.  With all of the football
>>experience on this list, maybe somebody can provide a copy of, or a pointer
>>to, such a chart.
>>
>>George
>>    
>>
>
>Some links:
>
>http://www.geocities.com/thekickinggame/2ptchart.htm
>
>http://www.footballcommentary.com/twoptchart.htm
>
>Buy your own here:
>
>http://cgi.ebay.com/FOOTBALL-2-POINT-CONVERSION-CHART_W0QQitemZ120048299954QQcmdZViewItem
>
>
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