[personal] Re: [Husker] Matchup vs aTm

[Skylar Dodds]

Hello Husker Fans,

MP> I wish I shared your optimism with regard to the final score!  I imagine a
MP> real dog fight.  A&M has only lost 2 games, by a total of 5 points.  Plus,
MP> mobile quarterbacks ALWAYS seem to give us fits... and our linebackers are
MP> nicked up... hostile crowd...and the aggies are only getting 1 point?

Yeah, I think NU tried something very unique last week and that was
lining up a guy like Culbert to 'shadow' the quarterback.  It worked
very well against Daniels (who's fairly mobile himself) and I hope we
try something like that this week.

-- 
Go Skers,
 Skylar                            mailto:Sklarbodds at cox.net

MP> Sweet post, thanks.


MP> That said, we win 28-20.  :)

MP> GBR,
MP> ~m



MP> On 11/10/06, Skylar Dodds <Sklarbodds at cox.net> wrote:
>>
>> Hello Husker Fans,
>>
>> Since I'm long winded (as many of you know), I'm going to put a
>> summary of my thoughts at the beginning of the email.
>>
>> I really think we can and will win on Saturday.  I think our
>> strengths really line up well against theirs.   They strength is the
>> run, our strength is stopping the run.  Their weakness is scoring in
>> the red zone, we tend to letup a fair amount of yards, but not that
>> many points and so on and so forth.
>>
>> My Prediction: NU 27 - aTm 13
>>
>> That being said, we're on the road so logic is thrown out the
>> window!
>>
>> Their defense is solid. They pretty good against the run and not bad
>> against the pass.
>>
>> NU Stat Advantage (Total/Natl Rank/Big XII rank):
>> =================================================
>> Passing offense: 246.40/23rd/4th       194.50/61st/9th
>> Pass efficiency: 167.67/4th/2nd        138.65/32nd/5th
>> Total offense:   435.00/10th/2nd       407.20/17th/5th
>> Scoring offense: 34.20/12th/3rd        31.30/20th/5th
>> Rushing defense: 120.20/45th/4th       128.30/51st/6th
>> Pass eff. def.:  115.28/40th/2nd       116.37/44th/4th
>> Scoring defense: 17.70/t-30th/t-3rd    18.70/37th/5th
>> Punt returns:    9.03/56th/7th         8.53/65th/9th
>> Turnover margin: +0.70/20th/2nd        +0.50/30th/4th
>>
>> aTm Stat Advantage (Total/Natl Rank/Big XII rank):
>> ==================================================
>> Rushing offense: 188.60/17th/3rd       212.70/8th/1st
>> Pass defense:    221.90/86th/7th       181.50/38th/4th
>> Total defense:   342.10/73rd/8th       309.80/45th/5th
>> Net punting:     37.40/22nd/4th        37.68/16th/3rd
>> Kickoff returns: 17.89/104th/12th      28.58/2nd/2nd
>>
>>
>> aTm is pretty balanced on defense. They're mid-upper in the big XII
>> in every category. I'm guessing Callahan will go with his usual road
>> strategy of run first pass, second. OU followed that model and
>> escaped with a win (I believe their RB had like 35+ carries).
>>
>> On offense, aTm is definitely a run first, pass second team. They
>> average about 42 rush/game and 25 pass/game. On the season they've
>> averaged 5.0 yards per carry and they essentially run 3 different
>> running backs regularly (counting the QB).
>>
>> Goodson is their quick back, he's fast and has a potential to break
>> big plays (7.0 yds/carry and 64 yard longest rush).  He's 6'0" and
>> only 192lbs.  He's a Fr to boot, so we'll see him next year too.
>>
>> Lane (So) is their Mack-Truck back. He does get more carries (127 vs
>> 88 for Goodson) but only has a 4.5 yds/rush because of the
>> situations he's in. The most glaring stat, however, is Lane has 18
>> touchdowns vs 2 for Goodson and 2 for McGee. They will line him up
>> when they get down to the goal line and don't apologize for it. He's
>> coming, good luck stopping him. For those of you who haven't seen
>> aTm this year, he's huge (6'0" 274lbs) but surprisingly agile for
>> his size. He is tough to bring down and has pretty good balance.
>>
>> Their QB caps the rushing attack. He's 6'3" 208 Sophomore who runs a
>> 4.5 40, he's a great runner. He averages just under 50 yards per
>> game but it would be over 60 if you took out negative yards (sacks).
>> He's not all rush though, he's pretty efficient with a 62.6%
>> completion and 11 TDs vs 2 Ints. aTm doesn't want him dropping back
>> to throw every down, but he's definitely capable. In HS, he set the
>> Texas 3A state record for touchdown passes with 101.
>>
>> Either way, it should be a good matchup.  Scoring won't come easy,
>> my prediction involves a late touchdown to distance ourselves.
>>
>> It should make for good television anyway!
>>
>> --
>> Go Skers,
>> Skylar                            mailto:Sklarbodds at cox.net
>>
>> _______________________________________________
>> husker site list
>> husker at tssi.com
>> http://romaine.tssi.com/mailman/listinfo/husker
>>