[Husker] Matchup vs aTm

[Matt Phillips]

Sweet post, thanks.

I wish I shared your optimism with regard to the final score!  I imagine a
real dog fight.  A&M has only lost 2 games, by a total of 5 points.  Plus,
mobile quarterbacks ALWAYS seem to give us fits... and our linebackers are
nicked up... hostile crowd...and the aggies are only getting 1 point?

That said, we win 28-20.  :)

GBR,
~m



On 11/10/06, Skylar Dodds <Sklarbodds at cox.net> wrote:
>
> Hello Husker Fans,
>
> Since I'm long winded (as many of you know), I'm going to put a
> summary of my thoughts at the beginning of the email.
>
> I really think we can and will win on Saturday.  I think our
> strengths really line up well against theirs.   They strength is the
> run, our strength is stopping the run.  Their weakness is scoring in
> the red zone, we tend to letup a fair amount of yards, but not that
> many points and so on and so forth.
>
> My Prediction: NU 27 - aTm 13
>
> That being said, we're on the road so logic is thrown out the
> window!
>
> Their defense is solid. They pretty good against the run and not bad
> against the pass.
>
> NU Stat Advantage (Total/Natl Rank/Big XII rank):
> =================================================
> Passing offense: 246.40/23rd/4th       194.50/61st/9th
> Pass efficiency: 167.67/4th/2nd        138.65/32nd/5th
> Total offense:   435.00/10th/2nd       407.20/17th/5th
> Scoring offense: 34.20/12th/3rd        31.30/20th/5th
> Rushing defense: 120.20/45th/4th       128.30/51st/6th
> Pass eff. def.:  115.28/40th/2nd       116.37/44th/4th
> Scoring defense: 17.70/t-30th/t-3rd    18.70/37th/5th
> Punt returns:    9.03/56th/7th         8.53/65th/9th
> Turnover margin: +0.70/20th/2nd        +0.50/30th/4th
>
> aTm Stat Advantage (Total/Natl Rank/Big XII rank):
> ==================================================
> Rushing offense: 188.60/17th/3rd       212.70/8th/1st
> Pass defense:    221.90/86th/7th       181.50/38th/4th
> Total defense:   342.10/73rd/8th       309.80/45th/5th
> Net punting:     37.40/22nd/4th        37.68/16th/3rd
> Kickoff returns: 17.89/104th/12th      28.58/2nd/2nd
>
>
> aTm is pretty balanced on defense. They're mid-upper in the big XII
> in every category. I'm guessing Callahan will go with his usual road
> strategy of run first pass, second. OU followed that model and
> escaped with a win (I believe their RB had like 35+ carries).
>
> On offense, aTm is definitely a run first, pass second team. They
> average about 42 rush/game and 25 pass/game. On the season they've
> averaged 5.0 yards per carry and they essentially run 3 different
> running backs regularly (counting the QB).
>
> Goodson is their quick back, he's fast and has a potential to break
> big plays (7.0 yds/carry and 64 yard longest rush).  He's 6'0" and
> only 192lbs.  He's a Fr to boot, so we'll see him next year too.
>
> Lane (So) is their Mack-Truck back. He does get more carries (127 vs
> 88 for Goodson) but only has a 4.5 yds/rush because of the
> situations he's in. The most glaring stat, however, is Lane has 18
> touchdowns vs 2 for Goodson and 2 for McGee. They will line him up
> when they get down to the goal line and don't apologize for it. He's
> coming, good luck stopping him. For those of you who haven't seen
> aTm this year, he's huge (6'0" 274lbs) but surprisingly agile for
> his size. He is tough to bring down and has pretty good balance.
>
> Their QB caps the rushing attack. He's 6'3" 208 Sophomore who runs a
> 4.5 40, he's a great runner. He averages just under 50 yards per
> game but it would be over 60 if you took out negative yards (sacks).
> He's not all rush though, he's pretty efficient with a 62.6%
> completion and 11 TDs vs 2 Ints. aTm doesn't want him dropping back
> to throw every down, but he's definitely capable. In HS, he set the
> Texas 3A state record for touchdown passes with 101.
>
> Either way, it should be a good matchup.  Scoring won't come easy,
> my prediction involves a late touchdown to distance ourselves.
>
> It should make for good television anyway!
>
> --
> Go Skers,
> Skylar                            mailto:Sklarbodds at cox.net
>
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Matt Phillips
matthew.a.phillips at gmail.com