[Husker] And now Mizzou! (fwd)

Mike Nolan nolan at romaine.tssi.com
Fri Nov 3 09:28:23 CST 2006


> > I hate to say it, but the fact that they haven't won in Lincoln 
> > since 1978 only increases the likelihood that they might this 
> > weekend...... it's in the odds, isn't it? I hope not.
> 
> Let's see if I remember how probability works...
> 
> You have a fair coin.
> 
> You toss it 15 times and get heads every time.
> 
> What are the odds of a tail on the next toss?
> 
> 50:50

Yeah, but the coin doesn't have last year's score posted on the locker
room wall.

Moreover, if the coin comes up heads on 15 consecutive tosses, you might
want to consider the possibility that it may not be a 'fair coin'.
(If you rolled 7 on 15 consecutive passes, I'm sure most casinos would
decide it was time to switch dice.)
--
Mike Nolan



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