[Husker] Three new threads

[Ken Oliver]

Yahoo sports link to odds, if it is not mislabeled shows NU a 3 to 3.5 favorite in all the lines.  I know they just try to balance the money, but this seems strange.

http://sports.yahoo.com/ncaaf/odds

-----Original Message-----
>From: Steve Reichenbach <reich at inetnebr.com>

>Subject: Re: [Husker] Three new threads
>
>> Auburn might not be much of a favorite over NU.  Sagarin has Auburn
>> with a predictor of 82.22 (#24) and NU with a predictor of 82.65
>> (#20).  (Some other computers have Auburn much stronger.)  The early
>> line opened with Auburn by 3, but the early line is now even.
>
>The line has settled in with NU a 3pt underdog.  The Big 12 bowl
>matchups:
>
>BOWL      Visitor   Home       Spread  Sagarin
>Indepence OKLA ST   Alabama     +3.0    +4.20  Favored more than spread
>Holiday   Texas A&M CALIFORNIA  -5.0    -8.12  Bigger underdog than spread
>Texas     Kansas St RUTGERS     -7.0    -9.55  Bigger underdog than spread
>Sun       Missouri  OREGON ST   -4.0    -2.93  Underdog less than spread
>Insight   Minnesota TEXAS TECH  -7.0    -3.18  Favored less than spread
>Alamo     Iowa      TEXAS      -11.0   -13.05  Bigger favorite than spread
>Cotton    Nebraska  AUBURN      -3.0    +0.43  Spread and computer differ
>Fiesta    Boise St  OKLAHOMA    -8.5    -5.00  Favored less than spread
>
>The Big 12 is favored in half the games.
>
>Looking at Sagarin versus the spread, you'd like:
>   OKLAHOMA ST even giving up 3pts
>   Missouri may be 1.0pt better than -4.0pts
>   TEXAS by even more than 11pts
>   Nebraska may be 3.5pts better than -3.0pts
>And, you wouldn't like:
>   Texas A&M may lose by more than 5.0
>   Kansas St may lose by more than 7.0
>   TEXAS TECH may not clear the -7.0pt spread
>   OKLAHOMA may not clear the -8.5pt spread
>Of these games, Sagarin has NU the best bet.  Personally, on the basis
>of the Big 12 Championship, I think NU's stock goes up and OU's stock
>goes down even though OU won by 14pts.  I think the 8.5pt spread may
>be too much for OU.  Of the games I'd disagree with Sagarin, I like
>Kansas State to surprise Rutgers.  Another couple of weeks of practice
>might help KSU more than Rutgers.