[Husker] Three new threads

[Steve Reichenbach]

> Auburn might not be much of a favorite over NU.  Sagarin has Auburn
> with a predictor of 82.22 (#24) and NU with a predictor of 82.65
> (#20).  (Some other computers have Auburn much stronger.)  The early
> line opened with Auburn by 3, but the early line is now even.

The line has settled in with NU a 3pt underdog.  The Big 12 bowl
matchups:

BOWL      Visitor   Home       Spread  Sagarin
Indepence OKLA ST   Alabama     +3.0    +4.20  Favored more than spread
Holiday   Texas A&M CALIFORNIA  -5.0    -8.12  Bigger underdog than spread
Texas     Kansas St RUTGERS     -7.0    -9.55  Bigger underdog than spread
Sun       Missouri  OREGON ST   -4.0    -2.93  Underdog less than spread
Insight   Minnesota TEXAS TECH  -7.0    -3.18  Favored less than spread
Alamo     Iowa      TEXAS      -11.0   -13.05  Bigger favorite than spread
Cotton    Nebraska  AUBURN      -3.0    +0.43  Spread and computer differ
Fiesta    Boise St  OKLAHOMA    -8.5    -5.00  Favored less than spread

The Big 12 is favored in half the games.

Looking at Sagarin versus the spread, you'd like:
   OKLAHOMA ST even giving up 3pts
   Missouri may be 1.0pt better than -4.0pts
   TEXAS by even more than 11pts
   Nebraska may be 3.5pts better than -3.0pts
And, you wouldn't like:
   Texas A&M may lose by more than 5.0
   Kansas St may lose by more than 7.0
   TEXAS TECH may not clear the -7.0pt spread
   OKLAHOMA may not clear the -8.5pt spread
Of these games, Sagarin has NU the best bet.  Personally, on the basis
of the Big 12 Championship, I think NU's stock goes up and OU's stock
goes down even though OU won by 14pts.  I think the 8.5pt spread may
be too much for OU.  Of the games I'd disagree with Sagarin, I like
Kansas State to surprise Rutgers.  Another couple of weeks of practice
might help KSU more than Rutgers.