[personal] Re: [Husker] Saturday's matchup
RJ Wessel
da_huskers at cox.net
Fri Dec 1 11:42:50 CST 2006
All I ever hope for is Corso and Herbstreit to pick the sooners
---- Skylar Dodds <Sklarbodds at cox.net> wrote:
> Hello Husker Fans,
>
> I'm going to add (regrettably) that Gary Barnett said something to the
> effect of, "Before I really looked at it, I was going to say OU by a
> touchdown or two. But after I really examined the matchups, I'll take
> NU"
>
> I know many on this list are going to be torn about siding with
> Barnett on anything, so for what it's worth, I'm sorry for bringing it
> up.
>
> --
> Go Skers,
> Skylar mailto:Sklarbodds at cox.net
>
> jcc> I put a comparison together, the format of which I'd stolen from another
> jcc> blog - Burntoragnenation.com - Texas guy, that shows a bunch of the stats
> jcc> as they relate to schedule....
> jcc> http://www.cornnation.com/story/2006/11/27/21710/576
>
> jcc> There is one thing that isn't in my post that both teams are very bad at
> jcc> (and Skylar points out)- and that's fumbles lost. OU is around the bottom
> jcc> of the NCAA in fumbles lost, and we're in the 100 or so range.
>
> jcc> One thing I'd like y'all to think about - who has Oklahoma beaten this
> jcc> year? Where's their signature big win? you might say Oregon, but that's
> jcc> BS. If OU had played pass defense, they'd have won the game, but they
> jcc> didn't. They don't have a signature win. Neither do we.
>
> jcc> The biggest difference between these teams is OSU. Oklahoma had six
> jcc> fumbles against Texas, losing three. They lost the game. Against OSU, they
> jcc> had zero. They won. We know how Nebraska did against OSU. Turnovers let
> jcc> them back in the game.
>
> jcc> This game will go four quarters, and the team that doesn't make these
> jcc> mistakes will win it. Forget analyzing the cold - both teams will be
> jcc> heavily affected by it - so that's even. I think this is a very very very
> jcc> even game, even though the vast majority of the nation has written it off
> jcc> as an Oklahoma win.
>
> jcc> I've originally told people
>
> jcc> Nebraska 30
> jcc> Oklahoma 28
>
> jcc> I'd cut that down by a TD apiece due to how bad the weather looks, though.
>
>
> jcc> Jon Johnston
> jcc> http://www.cornnation.com
>
> jcc> husker-bounces at tssi.com wrote on 12/01/2006 10:59:40 AM:
>
> >> Hello Husker Fans,
> >>
> >> OK, We've got to figure this out. Who's going to win Saturday...
> >>
> >> NU's offense is clearly better than OUs. OU averages just 5 yards
> >> more rushing per game, but come up almost 70 yards short passing per
> >> game. NU is in the Top 20 nation wide in all 5 major offensive
> >> categories while OU is only in the Top 20 in rushing.
> >>
> >> On defense, OU ranks in the top 20 in every category except Pass
> >> defense (they're 27th) and is the top 1 or 2 in the Big XII in each
> >> of those categories. NU is not in the top 20 in any of those, but
> >> comes in at a decent 30th in scoring defense (vs OU 18th).
> >>
> >> NU holds the turnover margin at +.33 vs OU's -.33. NU is clearly
> >> better in the red zone with a stunning 96% scoring in Big XII play
> >> (23 of 24 with the only miss coming last week on BJax's fumble and
> >> 20 touchdowns. WOW!)
> >>
> >> Not sure how it's calculated, but NU has played the tougher
> >> schedule (39th nationally vs OU's 68th nationally) per the NCAA.
> >>
> >> So it's offense vs defense. NU's balanced attack vs OU's power
> >> attack.
> >>
> >> Pro OU: NU has struggled this year against a good defensive line to
> >> really get the running game going. Taylor was sacked 9 times last
> >> year vs OU (although these are 2 totally different teams).
> >>
> >> Pro NU: NU has played very well in adverse weather this year. A
> >> couple preseason game blowouts and a snowy game vs UT. NU's much
> >> maligned passing defense has not been great, but they are fairly
> >> good in pass efficiency (37th / 4th Big XII) meaning they give up a
> >> lot of yardage but not a high percentage. Also NU's scoring D is
> >> pretty good, further supporting Cos's "bend-don't-break" philosophy.
> >>
> >> Result: If NU can get OU to turn the ball over (OU ranks DEAD LAST
> >> in the NCAA for fumbles lost at 21 vs NU with 14) and play smart
> >> overall, I think they will win.
> >>
> >> NU 28 - OU 23
> >>
> >> OU moves the ball well, but fails to get in the endzone much (2 TDs
> >> and 3 FGs). Taylor throws 3 TDs, BJax runs for 105 on 28 carries
> >> with a TD and Marlon Lucky catches a screen pass for a TD later in
> >> the game.
> >>
> >> Do we even need to play the game now?
> >>
> >> --
> >> Go Skers,
> >> Skylar mailto:Sklarbodds at cox.net
> >>
> >> _______________________________________________
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>
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