[Husker] Today's WSJ on ex-pro coaches in college

[Mike Jaixen]

Once you start realizing that Kirk Ferentz and Pete
Carroll pretty much dominate those 4th year results,
the data becomes rather skewed.  Subtract Ferentz and
Carroll, and the other 4th year coaches only go 16-8
in their 4th year.

When you look at the history of college coaches, most
of them who don't even match the results of their
predecessors are usually fired somewhere between year
2 and year 4, and frequently in year 3.  (See Ron Zook
at Florida)

--- George Rapp <george.rapp at gmail.com> wrote:


> On 9/23/05, Steve Reichenbach <reich at inetnebr.com>
> wrote:
> >
> > I don't subscribe and so cannot view the article,
> but I note that
> > the number of games used to compute the winning
> percentage decreases
> > each year.  One reason that there are fewer games
> figured in year
> > 4 than year 1 might be that unsuccessful coaches
> did not last to
> > year 4.  If that is the case, it would seem that
> ascribing the
> > increasing winning percentage with each successive
> year to
> > improvements made by the incoming coaches may be
> an incorrect
> > conconclusion.  It might be that the records
> didn't improve, but
> > the less successful coaches did not continue while
> the successful
> > coaches did continue.
> 
> I noticed that also.  The author explains that it is
> due to the fact
> that his analysis starts in 2001, so only pro
> coaches hired that year
> or thereafter are included.  (Surely there were pro
> coaches in the
> college ranks before then?  None come immediately to
> mind, though.)
> 
> George
> --
>    George Rapp  (Columbus, OH) Home: george.rapp --
> at -- gmail.com
>      Work: george.rapp -- at -- eds.com (or)
> george.rapp -- at -- dfas.mil
>   America has always been less secure when freedom
> is in retreat; America is
>  always more secure when freedom is on the march.
> (Pres. George Bush 6/2/2004)



Mike Jaixen
Blog: http://huskermike.blogspot.com


		
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