[Husker] Today's WSJ on ex-pro coaches in college

Mike and Kelly Petersen husker at communicomm.com
Fri Sep 23 18:38:17 CDT 2005


Great analysis.  I didn't notice that when I first saw the data.... but then
I was still bummed out that Joe Daily didn't mention me personally in his
e-mail. :)

Mike
----- Original Message -----
From: Steve Reichenbach <reich at inetnebr.com>
To: <george.rapp at gmail.com>; <husker at tssi.com>
Sent: Friday, September 23, 2005 3:24 PM
Subject: Re: [Husker] Today's WSJ on ex-pro coaches in college


>
> I don't subscribe and so cannot view the article, but I note that
> the number of games used to compute the winning percentage decreases
> each year.  One reason that there are fewer games figured in year
> 4 than year 1 might be that unsuccessful coaches did not last to
> year 4.  If that is the case, it would seem that ascribing the
> increasing winning percentage with each successive year to
> improvements made by the incoming coaches may be an incorrect
> conconclusion.  It might be that the records didn't improve, but
> the less successful coaches did not continue while the successful
> coaches did continue.
>
> > Allen St. John compares the records of coaches with professional
> > experience who have transitioned to college football head coaching,
> > beginning with Pete Carroll at U$C in 2001.    Based on what he found,
> > first- and second-year angst is not uncommon among schools who have
> > chosen pro coaches.
> >
> > Here's his summary quote:
> >
> > > The bottom line: Instituting a pro-style system takes time, requiring
a
> > > smart scheme, plus the players to execute it. But when things take
> > > hold, look out.
> >
> > and here are the composite records for these coaches, beginning before
> > the pro coach took over:
> >
> > YEAR  W-L      WINNING %
> > Before  77-100  .435    (NU 10-3  /  .769)
> > Year 1  87-114  .433    (NU 5-6  /  .455)
> > Year 2  70-88    .443
> > Year 3  78-47    .624
> > Year 4  40-10    .800
> >
> > George
> > --
> >    George Rapp  (Columbus, OH) Home: george.rapp -- at -- gmail.com
> >      Work: george.rapp -- at -- eds.com (or) george.rapp -- at --
dfas.mil
> >   America has always been less secure when freedom is in retreat;
America is
> >  always more secure when freedom is on the march. (Pres. George Bush
6/2/2004)
> >
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> >
>
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