[Husker] 6.5

[Mark Landin]

On 9/7/05, richards todd <toddlowell at yahoo.com> wrote: 
> 
> 
> Wake Forest loses at home to SEC doormat Vanderbilt
> and they are only 6.5 point underdogs on the road at
> Nebraska.
> 
> This Vegas line may be the most telling bit of
> information about how good or bad Nebraska is this
> year.

  It only speaks to people's perceptions and betting habits, not anything 
about the team itself. It's sometimes too tempting to get overconfident (or 
underconfident) when one sees Vegas lines. Lines are all about money ... 
nothing more.
 I myself think we beat WF by 21, but that's just me. :)

The 6.5 point spread is just begging for people to
> take WF because it just doesn't seem to be enough
> points. 

  Actually, it indicates that a moderately even amount of money has already 
been bet on both sides. If a lot of people start laying money on WF, then 
the spread will shrink, or perhaps even switch to NU being the dog, to try 
to get more money bet on that side.
 
 My experience in situations like this says
> that Nebraska will be lucky to get out of the game
> with a win. I hope I'm wrong, but I don't think so.

  You may (frightfully) be right, but if you are, it won't have anything to 
do with what happens in Vegas. :)